46 21 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
877 -226 Strength Momentum |
1246 47.9(39) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.001 | 654 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1034 | 74% | |
08/28/15 | at Clovis | 0.003 | 1246 | L 2- 8 | Expected (-2) | 773 | 8% | |
08/29/15 | at Bosque ?? | 0.001 | 1089 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-7) | 535 | 20% | |
08/29/15 | at Farmington ? | 0.001 | 1352 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 611 | 3% | |
09/03/15 | Moriarty | 0.016 | 702 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 723 | 76% | |
09/05/15 | Artesia | 0.020 | 1014 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 829 | 36% | |
09/12/15 | Miyamura | 0.048 | 730 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 989 | 73% | |
09/17/15 | Highland | 0.116 | 830 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 888 | 60% | |
09/19/15 | at Capital !! | 0.125 | 947 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1028 | 36% | |
09/24/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.033 | 1461 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 665 | 1% | |
09/26/15 | Cleveland | 0.023 | 1459 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 632 | 2% | |
09/30/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.211 | 1182 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-3) | 742 | 12% | |
10/07/15 | Cibola | 0.050 | 1381 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 593 | 5% | |
10/10/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.058 | 1461 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 633 | 2% | |
10/12/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.110 | 1454 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 662 | 1% | |
10/14/15 | at Cleveland | 0.176 | 1459 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-3) | 720 | 1% | |
10/17/15 | Bernalillo ! | 0.923 | 836 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 891 | 60% | |
10/21/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.485 | 1454 | L 0- 5 | Expected (0) | 897 | 2% | |
10/23/15 | at Cibola | 0.138 | 1381 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 625 | 3% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Fe actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1246, while
Santa Fe's "weighted playing strength" is 833
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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